The local government results outside London have left the Tories triumphant. At the time of writing they seem to have won around 44% of the vote against Labour’s 24% and the Lib Dems’ 25%.

 

The Tory vote is contradictory. David Cameron has gone some way to disassociating the party from Thatcherite politics in the public perception. He had to. That space is largely camped on by Labour now. In recent weeks has criticised Labour’s proposals to lock people up for 42 days and the plan to make the poor pay more tax. He even managed to implant an image of himself as a Radiohead-loving cyclist so broadening his appeal to some of this site’s key demographics. He was “kicking at an open goal” when it came to the economy. That’s a sporting metaphor. People now routinely come back from the supermarket commenting on how much more expensive food is. It’s impossible for hundreds of thousands of people to find somewhere secure and affordable to live and, reasonably enough, they think that a government elected in 1997 might have something to do with that.

 

Labour’s rank and file structures have melted away in large parts of the country. They had one person at my polling station in what should be one of their heartland areas and he saw his job as warning people that they would have three ballot papers rather than suggesting that they vote Labour. Was this advice from the party, a personal quirk or a fair assessment of the response he would get? That is an open question.

 

What is clear is that a lot of former Labour supporters find it increasingly hard to find a reason to vote for the party. For some the war was the last straw. For others it will be their housing situation, their pension or their below inflation pay settlement.

 

Looking at the council election results you’ll notice a category that says “others”. At they time of writing they had 360 council seats. God knows how they all are or on what platform they stood. Combine them with Respect, the Greens and the Socialist Party’s Dave Nellist, all elected as councillors, it indicates that there is an electorally significant group of people willing to break from the traditional parties. The BNP vote indicates how the most demoralised members of the working class can swing.

 

My initial judgement is that these results confirm that the ongoing erosion of working class support is continuing. For much of its core electorate the motivation for supporting the party weakens with every new neo-liberal initiative. From this comes the possibility and the necessity of creating the pluralistic, anti-imperialist, class struggle organisation to fill that political vacuum. Look at Italy if you want to see what happens if you don’t.

4 responses to “First thoughts on the elections”

  1. Jim Monaghan Avatar
    Jim Monaghan

    I think there is a touch of grasping at straws.
    It looks like Labour betrayal is giving the Tories a revival. 5 years of a mini Thatcher that will give Labour under perhaps Miliband another shot.
    The alternative left will continue to manouvre.
    In Europe we are moving to American type politics as the reformist parties become more like the Democratic Party.
    It is like some of the more depressing stuff in Revolutionary History.
    “We was right in 1952, 1956”. Add in the year of your sects major tiff with someone else.
    Yesterdays Le Monde had a long piece on one leftie corrupted by Mitterand and the lure of “real” politics.
    I wonder how many members of the various groups could answer a short test on the differences they have with each other. I suspect very few. I suspect alas that these setbacks will demoralise many.

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  2. Despite some impressive localised votes overall Renewal and LL have not made any significant gains. This is quite worrying considering the massive disillusionment with New Labour that is reflected in the council elections.

    If the left is going to grow then we need to enter into sober discussion about the way forward. The BNP have not made significant gains nationally either but their vote remains solid.

    It seems very unlikely that either Renewal or the LL will gain a seat in the GLA as the turnout has been much higher in London and this raises the number of votes each party needs to be elected. If, as indicated by the polling, Johnson is elected and the BNP gain a GLA place then unity on the left will need to take priority over the squabbling that has unfortunately helped neither Renewal nor the LL.

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  3. Alex Goodman, a committed socialist and human rights barrister has won the highgate by-election which is good news.

    Alex told me he became a socialist after visiting Cuba and I first met him when he was doing some legal work for my friends who were squatting the Pepys Estate.

    So some encouragement but the expected win of the racist buffon Boris is bad news….I guess we Greens will get a third seat on the GLA with Noel Lynch, a GPTU and GL supporter.

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  4. Jim
    which lefty was that?

    Mike

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